Local Adaptation to Extreme Weather and It’s Implication on Sustainable Rice Production in Lampung, Indonesia

Dulbari Dulbari, Edi Santosa, Yonny Koesmaryono, Eko Sulistyono, Anung Wahyudi, Herdhata Agusta, Dwi Guntoro

Abstract


Extreme weather incidents refer to high rainfall and strong winds have been speculated to be detrimental on rice production. However, researches on the local adaptation to their impact on rice production are limited especially on tropical region like Indonesia. A study was conducted in Pesawaran, West Lampung, North Lampung, and Bandar Lampung using time series data of 2000-2015 and ground checking during extreme weather and normal seasons and its implication on sustainable management. Data were evaluated using multivariate regressions. Results demonstrated that the impact of extreme weather on the reduction of rice production was weak, 0.92%. Shifting on rice production among swampy, irrigated, and dry lands at which covered area of 13.67%, 42.69% and 43.65%, respectively, minimized the impact of the extreme weather. During limited precipitation, irrigated and swamplands had 2.5-3.0 times cropping intensity. Conversely, during La-Nina with excess precipitation, cropping in irrigated and drylands increased by 20 and 58%, respectively. Moreover, the local government maintained annual production improvement by about 5% through expansion of irrigated land, high yielding varieties and inputs subsidies. Considering that incident of extreme weathers tended to occur more frequently, consequently, planting calender utilization and rice variety adapted should be implemented.


Keywords


Climate change; High precipitation; Lodging; Rice; Strong wind

Full Text:

PDF

References


Ardhitama, A., & Sholihah, R. (2014). Kajian penentuan awal musim di daerah non ZOM 14 Riau dengan menggunakan data curah hujan dan hari hujan. Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi Modifikasi Cuaca, 15(2), 65-73. crossref

Asada, H., & Matsumoto, J. (2009). Effects of rainfall variation on rice production in the GangesBrahmaputra Basin. Climate Research, 38, 249–260. crossref

Dulbari, Santosa, E., Koesmaryono, Y., & Sulistyono, E. (2018). Pendugaan kehilangan hasil pada tanaman padi rebah akibat terpaan angin kencang dan curah hujan tinggi. Jurnal Agronomi Indonesia, 46(1), 17–23. crossref

Dulbari, Santosa, E., Sulistyono, E., Agusta, H., Guntoro, D., Zaman, S., & Koesmaryono, Y. (2018). Produksi dan kualitas beras dua varietas padi akibat rebah dan terendam. Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia, 23(1), 74–80. crossref

Felkner, J., Tazhibayeva, K., & Townsend, R. (2009). Impact of climate change on rice production in Thailand. American Economic Review, 99(2), 205–210. crossref

Gbegbelegbe, S., Chung, U., Shiferaw, B., Msangi, S., & Tesfaye, K. (2014). Quantifying the impact of weather extremes on global food security: A spatial bio-economic approach. Weather and Climate Extremes, 4, 96–108. crossref

Hansen, J. W., Mason, S. J., Sun, L., & Tall, A. (2011). Review of seasonal climate forecasting for agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa. Experimental Agriculture, 47(Spesial Issue 2), 205–240. crossref

Iizumi, T., Yokozawa, M., Sakurai, G., Travasso, M. I., Romanernkov, V., Oettli, P., … Furuya, J. (2014). Historical changes in global yields: Major cereal and legume crops from 1982 to 2006. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23(3), 346–357. crossref

Lee, M. S., Kang, B. M., Lee, J. E., Choi, W. J., Ko, J., Choi, J. E., … Kim, H. Y. (2013). How do extreme wet events affect rice quality in a changing climate? Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 171, 47–54. crossref

Lesk, C., Rowhani, P., & Ramankutty, N. (2016). Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production. Nature, 529, 84–87. crossref

Miettinen, J., Hooijer, A., Tollenaar, D., Page, S., Malins, C., Vernimmen, R., … Liew, S. C. (2012). Historical analysis and projection of oil palm plantation expansion on peatland in Southeast Asia. White Paper Number 17: Indirect Effects of Biofuel Production. Retrieved from website

Olhoff, A. (2015). Adaptation in the context of technology development and transfer. Climate Policy, 15(1), 163–169. crossref

Pandey, S., Wang, H., & Bhandari, H. (2012). Rainfed rice, farmer’s livelihoods, and climate change. In D. E. Johnson, S. M. Haefele, & B. Hardy (Eds.), Responding to Changing Climate in Unfavorable Rice Environments (Limited Proceedings No. 17, pp. 1–2). Los Baños, Philippines: International Rice Research Institute. Retrieved from website

Powell, J. P., & Reinhard, S. (2016). Measuring the effects of extreme weather events on yields. Weather and Climate Extremes, 12, 69–79. crossref

Rafati, F., Hajmohamadi, S., & Hajmohamadi, S. (2014). Effect of seasonal winds on the pistachio trees productivity of sirjan in the last ten years. International Journal of Advanced Biological and Biomedical Research, 2(2), 371–376. Retrieved from website

Ray, D. K., Ramankutty, N., Mueller, N. D., West, P. C., & Foley, J. A. (2012). Recent patterns of crop yield growth and stagnation. Nature Communications, 3, 1293. crossref

Salassi, M. E., Deliberto, M. A., Linscombe, S. D., Wilson, C. E., Walker, T. W., McCauley, G. N., & Blouin, D. C. (2013). Impact of harvest lodging on rough rice milling yield and market price. Agronomy Journal, 105(6), 1860–1867. crossref

Shean, M. (2012). INDONESIA: Stagnating rice production ensures continued need for imports. Retrieved from website

Subash, N., Singh, S. S., & Priya, N. (2011). Extreme rainfall indices and its impact on rice productivity-A case study over sub-humid climatic environment. Agricultural Water Management, 98(9), 1373–1387. crossref

Timotiwu, P. B., & Dewi, M. M. (2014). The effect of silica and manganese application on rice growth and yield. AGRIVITA Journal of Agricultural Science, 36(2), 182–188. crossref

Wassmann, R., Nelson, G., Peng, S., Sumfleth, K., Jagadish, S., Hosen, Y., & Rosegrant, M. (2010). Rice and global climate change. In S. Pandey, D. Byerlee, D. Dawe, A. Dobermann, S. Mohanty, S. Rozelle, & B. Hardy (Eds.), Rice in The Global Economy: Strategic Research and Policy Issues for Food Security (pp. 411–432). Los Baños, Philippines: International Rice Research Institute. Retrieved from website

Zakaria, Md., Aziz, Md. A., Hossain, Md. I., & Farhat Rahman, N. Md. (2014). Effects of rainfall and maximum temperature on Aman rice production of Bangladesh: A case study for last decade. International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research, 3(2), 131-137. Retrieved from website

Zhang, J., Li, G., Song, Y., Liu, Z., Yang, C., Tang, S., … Ding, Y. (2014). Lodging resistance characteristics of high-yielding rice populations. Field Crops Research, 161, 64–74. crossref




DOI: http://doi.org/10.17503/agrivita.v43i1.2338

Copyright (c) 2021 The Author(s)

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.